Refiner Neste Warns of Weaker Biofuel Outlook, Shares Drop

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Company makes 3rd cut to renewables service outlook this year

Company makes 3rd cut to renewables company outlook this year


Reduces both margin and volume outlook


Weaker diesel market strikes biofuel prices


(Adds analyst, background, information in paragraphs 2-3, 9-11)


By Elviira Luoma and Essi Lehto


HELSINKI, Sept 11 (Reuters) - Finnish refiner Neste on Wednesday cut the margin outlook for its biofuel company for the third time this year due to falling rates and likewise reduced its expected sales volumes, sending out the business's share price down 10%.


Neste stated a drop in the price of routine diesel had affected what it can charge for the biofuel it makes in Europe and Singapore, while input costs for waste and residue feedstock remained high.


A rush by U.S. fuel makers to recalibrate their plants to produce renewable diesel has created a supply excess of low-emissions biofuels, hammering revenue margins for refiners and threatening to hamper the nascent market.


Neste in a declaration slashed the anticipated average comparable sales margin of its renewables unit to in between $360-$480 per tonne of biofuel, down from $480-$580 per tonne seen in July and well below the $600-$800 seen in February.


The company now also anticipates renewables-based sales volumes in 2024 to be about 3.9 million tonnes instead of the 4.4 million it had actually forecasted because the start of the year, it added.


A part of the volume cut originated from the production of sustainable aviation fuel, of which it is now expected to offer in between 350,000-550,000 tonnes this year, below in between 500,000 and 700,000 tonnes seen formerly, Neste stated.


"Renewable products' prices have been negatively impacted by a considerable decline in (the) diesel rate throughout the 3rd quarter," Neste stated in a statement.


"At the exact same time, waste and residue feedstock costs have not reduced and sustainable item market price premiums have actually stayed weak," the company included.


Industry executives and analysts have stated rapidly expanding Chinese biodiesel producers are looking for brand-new outlets in Asia for their exports, while Shell and BP have revealed they are pausing growth plans in Europe.


While the cut in Neste's guidance on sales volumes of sustainable air travel fuel came as a surprise, the unfavorable effect on biodiesel margins from a lower diesel price was to be expected, Inderes expert Petri Gostowski stated.


Neste's share cost had actually reversed some losses by 1037 GMT but stayed down 5.8% on the day and 48% lower year-to-date. (Reporting by Elviira Luoma, Essi Lehto and Boleslaw Lasocki; Editing by Terje Solsvik and Jan Harvey)

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